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Predicting the future of our oceans—Evaluating genomic forecasting approaches in marine species

2024Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorLayton, Kara
dc.contributor.authorBrieuc, M. S. O.
dc.contributor.authorCastilho, R.
dc.contributor.authorDiaz‐Arce, N.
dc.contributor.authorEstévez‐Barcia, D.
dc.contributor.authorFonseca, V. G.
dc.contributor.authorFuentes‐Pardo, A. P.
dc.contributor.authorJeffery, Nicholas
dc.contributor.authorJiménez‐Mena, B.
dc.contributor.authorJunge, C.
dc.contributor.authorKaufmann, J.
dc.contributor.authorLeinonen, T.
dc.contributor.authorMaes, S. M.
dc.contributor.authorMcGinnity, P.
dc.contributor.authorReed, T. E.
dc.contributor.authorReisser, C. M. O.
dc.contributor.authorSilva, G.
dc.contributor.authorVasemägi, A.
dc.contributor.authorBradbury, I. R.
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-02T14:46:26Z
dc.date.available2024-05-02T14:46:26Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractClimate change is restructuring biodiversity on multiple scales and there is a pressing need to understand the downstream ecological and genomic consequences of this change. Recent advancements in the field of eco-evolutionary genomics have sought to include evolutionary processes in forecasting species' responses to climate change (e.g., genomic offset), but to date, much of this work has focused on terrestrial species. Coastal and offshore species, and the fisheries they support, may be even more vulnerable to climate change than their terrestrial counterparts, warranting a critical appraisal of these approaches in marine systems. First, we synthesize knowledge about the genomic basis of adaptation in marine species, and then we discuss the few examples where genomic forecasting has been applied in marine systems. Next, we identify the key challenges in validating genomic offset estimates in marine species, and we advocate for the inclusion of historical sampling data and hindcasting in the validation phase. Lastly, we describe a workflow to guide marine managers in incorporating these predictions into the decision-making processpt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipFundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia - FCTpt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationLayton, K. K. S., Brieuc, M. S. O., Castilho, R., Diaz-Arce, N., Estévez-Barcia, D., Fonseca, V. G., Fuentes-Pardo, A. P., Jeffery, N. W., Jiménez-Mena, B., Junge, C., Kaufmann, J., Leinonen, T., Maes, S. M., McGinnity, P., Reed, T. E., Reisser, C. M. O., Silva, G., Vasemägi, A., & Bradbury, I. R. (2024). Predicting the future of our oceans—Evaluating genomic forecasting approaches in marine species. Global Change Biology, 30(3). https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17236pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/gcb.17236pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn13652486
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.12/9755
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherWiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltdpt_PT
dc.relationUIDB/04326/2020pt_PT
dc.relationUIDP/04326/2020pt_PT
dc.relationLA/P/0101/2020pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectAdaptationpt_PT
dc.subjectClimate changept_PT
dc.subjectGenomic offsetpt_PT
dc.subjectMarine speciespt_PT
dc.subjectValidationpt_PT
dc.titlePredicting the future of our oceans—Evaluating genomic forecasting approaches in marine speciespt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceUnited Kingdompt_PT
oaire.citation.issue3pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleGlobal Change Biologypt_PT
oaire.citation.volume30pt_PT
person.familyNameLayton
person.familyNameJeffery
person.givenNameKara
person.givenNameNicholas
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-4302-3048
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4242-5712
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56147504600
person.identifier.scopus-author-id37661644000
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication9c4f2f2d-c561-4c48-96b2-96249fcd72db
relation.isAuthorOfPublication33a80bbb-9943-4cf6-b047-ae60d3fe560b
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery9c4f2f2d-c561-4c48-96b2-96249fcd72db

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