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The developmental sequences of events underlying persistence in criminal convictions during adulthood

datacite.subject.fosCiências Sociais::Psicologia
datacite.subject.sdg03:Saúde de Qualidade
dc.contributor.authorBasto-Pereira, Miguel
dc.contributor.authorJolliffe, Darrick
dc.contributor.authorFarrington, David P.
dc.date.accessioned2025-05-15T15:31:12Z
dc.date.available2025-05-15T15:31:12Z
dc.date.issued2025-01
dc.description.abstractThe relationship between multiple vulnerabilities experienced and accumulated during development, and later life-course persistent offending trajectories is well-established. However, no studies have yet systematically examined how the sequences in which these vulnerabilities are experienced may influence the persistence of criminal behaviour into adulthood. Therefore, this work investigated how the sequences in which risk factors were experienced may contribute to accruing adult criminal convictions among males with justice involvement during adolescence. To this end, we employed the rich and detailed Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development, a longitudinal study that followed 411 boys from South London from age 8 to age 61. Using an innovative methodological approach, the sequences of risk factors experienced at ages 8–10, 12–14, and 16–18 were mapped and analysed as predictors of adult convictions. Childhood vulnerabilities such as parenting-related problems, low attainment, and risk-taking behaviour at ages 8–10 emerged as key starting points for the developmental sequences leading to adult convictions. At ages 12–14, hyperactivity and low IQ were identified as significant risk factors, followed by school failure and sexual promiscuity at ages 16–18. A very small number of prevalent sequences of risk factors appeared to promote the continuity of convictions from adolescence into adulthood. Our findings suggest that enhancing parenting strategies and fostering school success may prevent the cascade of risk factors promoting life-course persistent offending trajectories. At the transition to adulthood, the most common risk factors and crime-predictive sequences seem to undermine key opportunities for earlier crime desistance.eng
dc.description.sponsorshipFundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia - FCT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102351
dc.identifier.issn0047-2352
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.12/13526
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherElsevier BV
dc.relationUID/04810/2020
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85214580913&origin=SingleRecordEmailAlert&dgcid=raven_sc_affil_en_us_email&txGid=f05d9aa7868a85e78c235057953df428
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Criminal Justice
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectDevelopmental vulnerabilities
dc.subjectOffending
dc.subjectPersistent offending
dc.subjectRisk factors
dc.subjectSequences
dc.titleThe developmental sequences of events underlying persistence in criminal convictions during adulthood
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.titleJournal of Criminal Justice
oaire.citation.volume96
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85

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