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Adaptation of sea turtles to climate warming: Will phenological responses be sufficient to counteract changes in reproductive output?

2023Journal article Restricted access
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dc.contributor.authorFuentes, Mariana
dc.contributor.authorSantos, Armando Jose Barsante
dc.contributor.authorAbreu-Grobois, F. Alberto
dc.contributor.authorBriseño‐Dueñas, R.
dc.contributor.authorAl-Khayat, Jassim
dc.contributor.authorHamza, Shafeeq
dc.contributor.authorSaliba, Sally
dc.contributor.authorAnderson, D.
dc.contributor.authorRusenko, Kirt
dc.contributor.authorMitchell, N. J.
dc.contributor.authorGammon, Malindi Jane
dc.contributor.authorBentley, Blair P
dc.contributor.authorBeton, Damla
dc.contributor.authorBooth, David
dc.contributor.authorBroderick, Annette
dc.contributor.authorColman, Liliana
dc.contributor.authorSnape, Robin
dc.contributor.authorCalderon‐Campuzano, M. F.
dc.contributor.authorCuevas, Eduardo
dc.contributor.authorLópez-Castro, M. C.
dc.contributor.authorFlores-Aguirre, Cynthia Dinorah
dc.contributor.authorMendez, Fausto
dc.contributor.authorSegura‐Garcia, Y.
dc.contributor.authorRuiz‐Garcia, A.
dc.contributor.authorFossette, Sabrina
dc.contributor.authorGatto, Christopher
dc.contributor.authorReina, Richard
dc.contributor.authorGirondot, Marc
dc.contributor.authorGodfrey, M.
dc.contributor.authorGuzman Hernandez, Vicente
dc.contributor.authorHart, Catherine Edwina
dc.contributor.authorKaska, Yakup
dc.contributor.authorLara, P.H.
dc.contributor.authorMarcovaldi, Maria Angela
dc.contributor.authorLeblanc, Nia
dc.contributor.authorRostal, D.
dc.contributor.authorLiles, Mark
dc.contributor.authorWyneken, Jeanette
dc.contributor.authorLolavar, Alexandra
dc.contributor.authorWilliamson, Sean
dc.contributor.authorManoharakrishnan, Muralidharan
dc.contributor.authorPusapati, Chandana
dc.contributor.authorChatting, Mark
dc.contributor.authorMohd Salleh, Sarahaizad
dc.contributor.authorPatrício, Ana Rita
dc.contributor.authorRegalla, A.
dc.contributor.authorRestrepo, J.
dc.contributor.authorGarcia, R.
dc.contributor.authorTomillo, Pilar Santidrián
dc.contributor.authorSezgin, Çisem
dc.contributor.authorShanker, Kartik
dc.contributor.authorTapilatu, F.
dc.contributor.authorTurkozan, Oguz
dc.contributor.authorValverde, Clodoaldo
dc.contributor.authorCarroll, Kristina Williams
dc.contributor.authorYilmaz, Can
dc.contributor.authorTolen, Nicholas
dc.contributor.authorTucek, J.
dc.contributor.authorLe Gouvello Du Timat, Diane, Zelica, Marie
dc.contributor.authorRivas, Marga
dc.contributor.authorFreire, Jordana
dc.contributor.authorTouron, M.
dc.contributor.authorGenet, Q.
dc.contributor.authorSalmon, M.
dc.contributor.authorAraujo, M. R.
dc.contributor.authorFreire, J. B.
dc.contributor.authorDavel Castheloge, Vinicius
dc.contributor.authorJesus, Paulo Roberto
dc.contributor.authorJúnior, Paulo Dias Ferreira
dc.contributor.authorPaladino, Frank V.
dc.contributor.authorMontero‐Flores, D.
dc.contributor.authorSözbilen, Doğan
dc.contributor.authorMonsinjon, Jonathan
dc.date.accessioned2024-02-29T16:02:42Z
dc.date.available2024-02-29T16:02:42Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractSea turtles are vulnerable to climate change since their reproductive output is influenced by incubating temperatures, with warmer temperatures causing lower hatching success and increased feminization of embryos. Their ability to cope with projected increases in ambient temperatures will depend on their capacity to adapt to shifts in climatic regimes. Here, we assessed the extent to which phenological shifts could impacts from increases in ambient temperatures (from 1.5 to 3°C in air temperatures and from 1.4 to 2.3°C in sea surface temperatures by 2100 at our sites) on four species of sea turtles, under a “middle of the road” scenario (SSP2-4.5). Sand temperatures at sea turtle nesting sites are projected to increase from 0.58 to 4.17°C by 2100 and expected shifts in nesting of 26–43 days earlier will not be sufficient to maintain current incubation temperatures at 7 (29%) of our sites, hatching success rates at 10 (42%) of our sites, with current trends in hatchling sex ratio being able to be maintained at half of the sites. We also calculated the phenological shifts that would be required (both backward for an earlier shift in nesting and forward for a later shift) to keep up with present-day incubation temperatures, hatching success rates, and sex ratios. The required shifts backward in nesting for incubation temperatures ranged from −20 to −191 days, whereas the required shifts forward ranged from +54 to +180 days. However, for half of the sites, no matter the shift the median incubation temperature will always be warmer than the 75th percentile of current ranges. Given that phenological shifts will not be able to ameliorate predicted changes in temperature, hatching success and sex ratio at most sites, turtles may need to use other adaptive responses and/or there is the need to enhance sea turtle resilience to climate warming.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationFuentes, M. M. P. B., Santos, A. J. B., Abreu-Grobois, A., Briseño-Dueñas, R., Al-Khayat, J., Hamza, S., Saliba, S., Chatting, M., Anderson, D., Rusenko, K. W., Mitchell, N. J., Gammon, M., Bentley, B. P., Fossette, S., Beton, D., Snape, R. T. E., Booth, D. T. B., Broderick, A. C., Colman, L. P., … Monsinjon, J. R. (2024). Adaptation of sea turtles to climate warming: Will phenological responses be sufficient to counteract changes in reproductive output? Global Change Biology, 30(1). https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16991pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/gcb.16991pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn13652486
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.12/9630
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherWiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltdpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectAdaptive responsept_PT
dc.subjectClimate changept_PT
dc.subjectEctothermspt_PT
dc.subjectMarine turtlespt_PT
dc.subjectPhenologypt_PT
dc.subjectReproductive outputpt_PT
dc.subjectSea turtlespt_PT
dc.titleAdaptation of sea turtles to climate warming: Will phenological responses be sufficient to counteract changes in reproductive output?pt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceUnited Kingdompt_PT
oaire.citation.issue1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleGlobal Change Biologypt_PT
oaire.citation.volume30pt_PT
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