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Crises social sensing: Longitudinal monitoring of social perceptions of systemic risk during public health crisis

2023Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorGaspar, Rui
dc.contributor.authorDomingos, S.
dc.contributor.authorToscano, Hugo
dc.contributor.authorFilipe, Jessica
dc.contributor.authorLeiras, Gisela
dc.contributor.authorRaposo, Beatriz
dc.contributor.authorPereira, Cícero
dc.contributor.authorGodinho, Cristina
dc.contributor.authorFrancisco, Rita
dc.contributor.authorSilva, Ana Cláudia
dc.contributor.authorArriaga, Miguel
dc.date.accessioned2023-03-06T14:55:51Z
dc.date.available2023-03-06T14:55:51Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractMonitoring how different people – as ‘social sensors’ – evaluate and respond to crisis such as pandemics, allows tailoring crisis communication to the social perceptions of the situation, at different moments. To gather such evidence, we proposed a index of social perceptions of systemic risk (SPSR), as an indicator of a situational threat compromising risks to physical health, psychological health, the economy, social relations, health system, and others. This indicator was the core of a social sensing approach applied to crisis situations, implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic through a content analysis of more than 130.000 public comments from Facebook™ users, in COVID-19 related publications. This content coding allowed creating a SPSR index monitored during a one-year descriptive longitudinal analysis. This index correlated with co-occurring events within the social system, namely epidemiological indicators across measurement cycles (e.g. new deaths; cumulative number of infection cases; Intensive Care Unit hospitalizations) and tended to reflect the epidemiological situation severity (e.g. with the highest level registered during the worst pandemic wave). However, discrepancies also occurred, with high SPSR registered in a low severity situation, i.e. low number of hospitalizations and deaths (e.g. school year beginning), or low SPSR in a high severity situation (e.g. 2nd pandemic wave during Christmas), showing other factors beyond the epidemiological situation contributing to the social perceptions. After each ‘crisis period’ with SPSR peaking, there was a ‘restoration period’, consistently decreasing towards average levels of the previous measurement cycle. This can either indicate social resilience (recovery and resources potentiation) or risk attenuation after a high-severity period. This study serves as preliminary proof of concept of a crises social sensing approach, enabling monitoring of social system dynamics for various crisis types, such as health crisis or the climate crisis.pt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipFundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia - FCTpt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationGaspar, R., Toscano, H., Raposo, B., Godinho, C., Francisco, R., Silva, C., Arriaga, M. T. D., Domingos, S., Filipe, J., Leiras, G., & Pereira, C. (2023). Crises social sensing: longitudinal monitoring of social perceptions of systemic risk during public health crisis. Journal of Risk Research. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2023.2170450pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/13669877.2023.2170450pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn13669877
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.12/9059
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherRoutledgept_PT
dc.relationPD/BD/128512/2017pt_PT
dc.relationUID/PSI/04810/2013pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectCOVID-19pt_PT
dc.subjectSARS-CoV-2pt_PT
dc.subjectCrisespt_PT
dc.subjectSocial sensingpt_PT
dc.subjectSystemic riskspt_PT
dc.subjectCrisis communicationpt_PT
dc.titleCrises social sensing: Longitudinal monitoring of social perceptions of systemic risk during public health crisispt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceUnited Kingdompt_PT
oaire.citation.endPage22pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleJournal of Risk Researchpt_PT
person.familyNameGaspar de Carvalho
person.familyNameFilipe Pereira Domingos
person.familyNameToscano
person.familyNameFilipe
person.familyNameLeiras
person.familyNameRaposo
person.familyNameGodinho
person.familyNameBatista Francisco
person.familyNamePereira da Silva
person.familyNameTelo de Arriaga
person.givenNameRui Filipe
person.givenNameSamuel
person.givenNameHugo
person.givenNameJessica
person.givenNameGisela
person.givenNameBeatriz
person.givenNameCristina
person.givenNameRita Alexandra
person.givenNameAna Cláudia
person.givenNameMiguel
person.identifierCpbxYnYAAAAJ
person.identifier970871
person.identifier.ciencia-id5813-697B-5A73
person.identifier.ciencia-id3419-32BB-2F3E
person.identifier.ciencia-id3016-09C4-5DB4
person.identifier.ciencia-id6114-753E-7789
person.identifier.ciencia-id0412-792E-B833
person.identifier.ciencia-id2F1A-573B-13BC
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0943-6658
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-4012-0280
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9838-8685
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-5936-6854
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-3843-4299
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-0950-6756
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-4398-3401
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6113-9722
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9183-9121
person.identifier.scopus-author-id50161487500
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57221078623
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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