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Anomalies to Markowitz’s hypothesis and a prospect-theoretical interpretation

dc.contributor.authorScholten, Marc
dc.contributor.authorRead, Daniel
dc.date.accessioned2015-04-15T19:16:09Z
dc.date.available2015-04-15T19:16:09Z
dc.date.issued2009-11-12
dc.description.abstractMarkowitz hypothesized a fourfold pattern of risk preferences, with risk aversion for large gains and small losses, but risk seeking for small gains and large losses. We test his hypothesis, and obtain two major results. One is the dispersion effect: A majority exhibits risk seeking and risk aversion for small and large gains, but disperses into five preference groups for small and large losses. There are the „Markowitzians‟ (risk aversion and risk seeking), the „non-Markowitzians‟ (risk seeking and risk aversion), the „Cautious‟ (global risk aversion), the „Audacious‟ (global risk seeking), and the „Wavering‟ (who exhibit no definite preference pattern). The other result is the migration effect: The composition of the preference groups changes across risk levels. More specifically, when going from high to moderate risk levels, the shares of the Markowitzians and the Cautious fall while the shares of the Audacious and the non-Markowitzians rise. We show that, if prospect theory accommodates the dispersion effect by allowing for heterogeneity in the elasticity of the value function and the elevation of the probability-weighing function, it correctly predicts the migration effect.por
dc.identifier.citationSSRN Working Paper available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=1504630por
dc.identifier.doi10.2139/ssrn.1504630
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.12/3560
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.peerreviewedyespor
dc.publisherSocial Science Research Networkpor
dc.subjectRisk aversionpor
dc.subjectRisk seekingpor
dc.subjectPreference heterogeneitypor
dc.subjectPreference uncertaintypor
dc.subjectMarkowitzpor
dc.subjectProspect theorypor
dc.titleAnomalies to Markowitz’s hypothesis and a prospect-theoretical interpretationpor
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage47por
oaire.citation.startPage1por
oaire.citation.titleSocial Science Research Networkpor
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpor

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